Oscar Predix - Round 4

Penúltima rodada de previsões para os indicados ao Oscar 2008. Algumas coisas (boas e ruins) mudaram desde o mês passado. De um lado, a confirmação do favoritismo de No Country For Old Men (que tá fazendo uma limpa geral nos prêmios por aí) e também a ressurreição de There Will Be Blood (que parece que não vai ser ignorado afinal!). E de outro, o repentino desdém de Atonement, completamente ignorado por sindicatos de peso como dos atores (SAG), roteiristas (WGA) e diretores (DGA) – lá no início chegou a ser até o favorito, hoje quase caindo da lista dos cinco finalistas nas principais categorias.
PS: Antes de dar o veredicto final, falta ainda conhecer os vencedores Globo de Ouro (no dia 13 – nenhum comentário extra sobre o cancelamento da cerimônia: simplesmente a maior palhaçada de Hollywood dos últimos tempos – , os indicados ao Producers Guild of America (dia 14) e ao Bafta (dia 16). Aí, e só esperar as 11h38min do dia 22 (ou será que vão suspender o anúncio também? Haja!)

MELHOR FILME
(=) 1. No Country for Old Men
(+1) 2. Into the Wild (foto)
(+1) 3. Michael Clayton
(+6) 4. There Will Be Blood
(-3) 5. Atonement

Na cola:
(+5) 6. The Diving Bell and the Butterfly
(-1) 7. Juno
(+1) 8. American Gangster
(+4) 9. The Great Debaters
(-5) 10. The Kite Runner
(-4) 11. Sweeney Todd
(-4) 12. Charlie Wilson´s War

Ainda sonhando:
(+1) 13. Hairspray
(-2) 14. Before the Devil Knows You're Dead
(+2)15. 3:10 to Yuma
(-1) 16. The Assassination of Jesse James by the Coward Robert Ford
(-1) 17. Eastern Promises
(=) 18. Gone Baby Gone
(=) 19. The Savages
(=) 20. In the Valley of Elah

MELHOR DIRETOR
(=) 1. Joel & Ethan Coen, No Country for Old Men
(+1) 2. Sean Penn, Into the Wild
(+1) 3. Julian Schnabel, The Diving Bell and the Butterfly
(+4) 4. Paul Thomas Anderson, There Will Be Blood (foto)
(=) 5. Ridley Scott, American Gangster

Na cola:
(-4) 6. Joe Wright, Atonement
(+4) 7. Tony Gilroy, Michael Clayton
(-2) 8. Sidney Lumet, Before the Devil Knows You’re Dead
(+1) 9. Tim Burton, Sweeney Todd
(-1) 10. Mike Nichols, Charlie Wilson´s War
(+1) 11. Jason Reitman, Juno
(-5) 12. Marc Forster, The Kite Runner
(+2) 13. Denzel Washington, The Great Debaters

Ainda sonhando:
(-1) 14. David Cronenberg, Eastern Promises
(-1) 15. Sarah Polley, Away from Her
(n) 16. James Mangold, 3:10 to Yuma
(+1) 17. Ang Lee, Lust, Caution
(-1) 18. Andrew Dominik, The Assassination of Jesse James by the Coward Robert Ford
(=) 19. Ben Affleck, Gone Baby Gone
(-4) 20. Paul Haggis, In the Valley of Elah

MELHOR ATOR
(=) 1. Daniel Day-Lewis, There Will Be Blood
(=) 2. George Clooney, Michael Clayton
(=) 3. Denzel Washington, American Gangster (foto)
(=) 4. Johnny Depp, Sweeney Todd
(=) 5. Emile Hirsch, Into the Wild

Na cola:
(+1) 6. Viggo Mortensen, Eastern Promises
(-1) 7. James McAvoy, Atonement
(=) 8. Ryan Gosling, Lars and the Real Girl
(=) 9. Philip Seymour Hoffman, The Savages or Before the Devil Knows You're Dead
(+2) 10. Josh Brolin, No Country for Old Men
(=) 11. Tom Hanks, Charlie Wilson's War
(-2) 12. Tommy Lee Jones, In the Valley of Elah
(=) 13. Frank Langella, Starting Out in the Evening

Ainda sonhando:
(+2) 14. Matthieu Almaric, The Diving Bell and the Butterfly
(-1) 15. John Cusack, Grace is Gone
(-1) 16. Christian Bale, 3:10 to Yuma or Rescue Dawn
(=) 17. Sam Riley, Control
(=) 18. Casey Affleck, Gone Baby Gone
(=) 19. Brad Pitt, The Assassination of Jesse James by the Coward Robert Ford
(=) 20. Benicio Del Toro, Things We Lost in the Fire

MELHOR ATRIZ
(=) 1. Marion Cotillard, La Vie en Rose
(=) 2. Julie Christie, Away from Her
(=) 3. Angelina Jolie, A Mighty Heart (foto)
(=) 4. Ellen Page, Juno
(=) 5. Cate Blanchett, Elizabeth: The Golden Age

Na cola:
(+1) 6. Laura Linney, The Savages
(-1) 7. Keira Knightley, Atonement
(=) 8. Amy Adams, Enchanted
(=) 9. Helena Bonham-Carter, Sweeney Todd
(=) 10. Jodie Foster, The Brave One

Ainda sonhando:
(=) 11. Halle Berry, Things We Lost in the Fire
(=) 12. Tang Wei, Lust, Caution
(=) 13. Naomi Watts, Eastern Promises
(+3) 14. Ashley Judd, Bug
(-2) 15. Nicole Kidman, Margot at the Wedding
(-2) 16. Charlize Theron, In the Valley of Elah

MELHOR ATOR COADJUVANTE
(=) 1. Javier Bardem, No Country for Old Men
(=) 2. Tom Wilkinson, Michael Clayton
(=) 3. Hal Holbrook, Into the Wild
(+2) 4. Casey Affleck, The Assassination of Jesse James by the Coward Robert Ford (foto)
(=) 5. Phillip Seymour Hoffman, Charlie Wilson's War

Na cola:
(-2) 6. Max Von Sydow, The Diving Bell and the Butterfly
(=) 7. Tommy Lee Jones, No Country For Old Men
(+2) 8. John Travolta, Hairspray
(=) 9. Albert Finney, Before the Devil Knows You're Dead
(-2) 10. Philip Bosco, The Savages

Continuam sonhando:
(=) 11. Paul Dano, There Will Be Blood
(=) 12. Russell Crowe, American Gangster
(=) 13. Armin Mueller-Stahl, Eastern Promises
(=) 14. Homayon Ershadi, The Kite Runner
(=) 15. Alan Rickman, Sweeney Todd
(=) 16. Ben Foster, 3:10 to Yuma
(=) 17. Sacha Baron Cohen, Sweeney Todd
(=) 18. Forest Whitaker, The Great Debaters
(=) 19. Peter Fonda, 3:10 to Yuma
(=) 20. Gordon Pinsent, Away From Her

MELHOR ATRIZ COADJUVANTE
(=) 1. Cate Blanchett, I'm Not There
(+1) 2. Amy Ryan, Gone Baby Gone
(-1) 3. Tilda Swinton, Michael Clayton (foto)
(+1) 4. Saoirse Ronan, Atonement
(-1) 5. Catherine Keener, Into the Wild

Na cola:
(+1) 6. Ruby Dee, American Gangster
(-1) 7. Vanessa Redgrave, Atonement
(+1) 8. Kelly MacDonald, No Country for Old Men
(+1) 9. Jennifer Garner, Juno
(-2) 10. Marisa Tomei, Before the Devil Knows You’re Dead
(=) 11. Julia Roberts, Charlie Wilson's War

Ainda sonhando:
(+2) 12. Jennifer Jason Leigh, Margot at the Wedding
(+2) 13. Samantha Morton, Control
(-2) 14. Meryl Streep, Rendition or Lions for Lambs
(-2) 15. Susan Sarandon, In the Valley of Elah
(+1) 16. Michelle Pfeiffer, Hairspray